Uncertainty Mapping
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Map out what's known, unknown, and unknowable about [topic]: THE TOPIC: [Describe it] UNCERTAINTY MAP: KNOWN (high confidence, good evidence): - [List what we actually know] SUSPECTED (medium confidence, some evidence): - [List reasonable inferences] UNKNOWN (low confidence, could be discovered): - [List gaps in knowledge that could be filled] UNKNOWABLE (fundamental uncertainty): - [List things that are inherently uncertain] CONTESTED (experts disagree): - [List areas of genuine disagreement] For each category, briefly explain why items belong there and what would move them to a different category.
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