Browse Claude Section 2: Honest Reasoning

Uncertainty Mapping

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Uncertainty Mapping

Map out what's known, unknown, and unknowable about [topic]:

THE TOPIC:
[Describe it]

UNCERTAINTY MAP:

KNOWN (high confidence, good evidence):
- [List what we actually know]

SUSPECTED (medium confidence, some evidence):
- [List reasonable inferences]

UNKNOWN (low confidence, could be discovered):
- [List gaps in knowledge that could be filled]

UNKNOWABLE (fundamental uncertainty):
- [List things that are inherently uncertain]

CONTESTED (experts disagree):
- [List areas of genuine disagreement]

For each category, briefly explain why items belong there and what would move them to a different category.

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