Assumption Surfacing

Help me identify hidden assumptions in my thinking:

MY BELIEF/PLAN/STRATEGY:
[Describe it]

I THINK IT'S TRUE BECAUSE:
[Your reasoning]

ASSUMPTION ANALYSIS:
1. List every assumption my reasoning depends on (aim for 10+)
2. For each assumption:
   - Is this definitely true, probably true, or uncertain?
   - What evidence supports it?
   - What would falsify it?
   - If wrong, how badly does it break my conclusion?
3. Identify the 3 most critical assumptions (if wrong, everything fails)
4. Suggest how to test or validate these critical assumptions